Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Several the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that must be your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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